AI Predicts the Text of Answers
Yes, it's next-token prediction — the trick is which text it's predicting, the answer to what you asked
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3,068 essays, articles, and tutorials on multiple topics spanning 29.61 years
This is some of my favorite, most popular, and latest content. You can also browse and search the archives.
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Latest Content
Thoughts on AI Adoption Speed
Some seemingly contradictory frames I use to think about how fast AI will actually change companies
How I'm Thinking About the Anthropic and OpenAI IPOs
Why I'm happy putting money into all three top US labs right now
Post-AI Jobs Will Go to a Tiny Sliver
The new jobs are real, but they're only for the top 1-5%
Could Suddenly-Great Open Source AI Crash the US Economy?
We bet the economy on five companies—and their moat might be evaporating
The Razor's Edge of Human Government Design
Capitalism is cruel, communism is compassionate, and somehow we have to thread between them
The Main Path to Truly Creative AI
Why real creativity might require real feeling — and what we'd owe an AI that had it
Text is Thought, and Thought is Holy
Why I think Markdown is a better spec format than HTML
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